Emotion And The West Bengal Polity. We have seen the BJP’s intense campaigning during Hyderabad Municipal election where Amit Shah and JP Nadda campaigned and the BJP really won a tremendous number of 48 seats. © 1998-2021 Zee Media Corporation Ltd (An Essel Group Company), All rights reserved. Union Home Minister Amit Shah, while addressing a rally at Kolkata's Shahid Minar grounds on Sunday, asserted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will emerge victorious in the upcoming 2021 West Bengal Legislative Assembly Elections with an overwhelming two-thirds majority. Having said this, I again put a caveat. As counting of votes for West Bengal Assembly Election 2021 is underway, Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) leader Kailash Vijayvargiya has expressed confidence in crossing the "magic number". Nadda alleged that only the ruling TMC leaders have benefited under Mamata Banerjee. The Bengal election 2021 Exit poll will be released on 29th or 30th April. The BJP Chief stated that West Bengal is lagging behind because its leadership does not want the same to happen in the state. Recently, psephologist Yashwant Deshmukh tweeted: ‘Regardless of Vidhan Sabha results in 2021, the BJP is likely to sweep West Bengal in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Nadda attended a roadshow in Malda and also launched BJP's 'Parivartan Yatra' from Nabadwip in Nadia district. However, there are some caveats. ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll Results WB Election: ABP News in collaboration with C-Voter assessed the state of West Bengal ahead of 2021 Assembly Elections. Mamata Banerjee’s … PHOTO: AFP A win … There’s a tendency among Indian voters to always go with the emerging party at the last moment. My money is on the BJP now. The final phase of Bengal election will be held on Thursday and the Bengal Election Exit poll number will be released on same day. The reasons as follows. It happened in UP, Bihar and many polities. West Bengal election result 2021: 'Still hopeful we will win,' says BJP chief Dilip Ghosh COVID-19 crisis: India gets essential medical supplies from … The ‘India News-Jan Ki Baat’ opinion poll gives the BJP 44.8% vote share, with the TMC getting 44.1% vote share. West Bengal, March 12 (ANI): BJP leader Suvendu Adhikari flashes a victory sign as he arrives at the SDO office to file his nomination from the Nandigram constituency in Haldia on Friday. In this case, the TMC has started losing its vote shares. Demand Action Against Caste-Based Discrimination, Opinion: Why I Think NDA Will Sweep The Assam Assembly Election Of 2021. The C-Voter opinion poll hasn’t come yet, but as it’s a tracker-based opinion poll, there might not any changes as of now from its previous data. He attacked the Trinamool Congress and asserted that the people have decided to bid farewell to the Mamata Banerjee government in the assembly polls. Since the early 1990s, the BJP and RSS have been eyeing the tribals, especially in North Bengal, and OBCs to establish a political footprint in the state. My previous analysis on the Bengal Assemble Election on March 18, 2021, was based on various opinion polls up to March, 15, 2021. This is to be noted that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is also scheduled to visit West Bengal on Sunday. In 2011 (Assembly Election), the BJP’s voting percentage in Bengal was 4.06%. Currently, BJP and ruling TMC are under a neck-to-neck fight. I think Banerjee realises this, too. "70 lakh farmers in the state have not received support worth Rs 14,000 from PM Modi due to Mamata Ji’s whims and ego. He also formally announced the BJP… On the other hand, Banerjee’s desperation and furious attack on Modi will ensure that whoever the silent voters wanted to vote for, the TMC will either abstain or vote to the BJP. At the same time, the TMC’s frustration, anger and constant attack on Modi indicates that they are losing ground. Bengal Opinion Polls and Exit Poll 2021: BJP headed for a win. Opinion polls always show the mood of the polity. That means the party or alliance that is able to bring their supporters/voters to the polling booth in higher numbers will win the booth. Nadda attacked the Trinamool Congress and asserted that the people have decided to bid farewell to the Mamata Banerjee government in the assembly polls. You can find out more by clicking Who will win in Bengal in 2021? The ‘Patriotic Voter’ opinion poll provides that the BJP will get 41% vote share compared to the TMC’s 40% vote share. #PoribortonYatra pic.twitter.com/m3QrTle6bQ, मालदा रोड शो में उमड़ा जनसैलाब, ममता दीदी की तानाशाही को नकारते हुए भाजपा के सोनार बांग्ला में अपना भरपूर विश्वास दर्शा रहा है। ये देख मैं बड़ी प्रसन्नता के साथ कह सकता हूँ कि आने वाले चुनावों में भाजपा, बंगाल में 200 से अधिक सीटों पर विजयी होगी। pic.twitter.com/jVfsFiHxBb, — Jagat Prakash Nadda (@JPNadda) February 6, 2021. So, it’s like this: win more polling booths to win a seat. Thus, having all that information, I conclude as of now that the BJP may win the West Bengal Assembly Election 2021 with a clear majority. Nadda also said that 'Mamata di' has done a big injustice with farmers in West Bengal by not implementing the PM Kisan Samman Nidhi. Nadda attended a roadshow in West Bengal's Malda and also launched BJP's 'Parivartan Yatra' from Nabadwip in West Bengal's Nadia district. However, their March 23 poll survey says that the TMC, BJP, Left Front and others will get 40%, 38%, 16% and 6% vote share respectively. BENGAL POLLS 2021: The BJP has emerged as the ruling TMC's main rival by winning 18 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal in the 2019 general elections. He also said that 'Mamata di' has done a big injustice with farmers in West Bengal by not implementing the PM Kisan Samman Nidhi. "The maximum women trafficking takes place in Bengal, even when its CM is a woman," Nadda stated. If the Union Home Minister and party President of a national party campaign in a municipal poll, then definitely, the party assessed that there’s a chance of a huge gain. this link. Under the leadership of Narendra Modi and Amit Shah, BJP has found the caste groups created by Trinamool’s efforts as one of the best ammunition to hit Mamata back. 1. But the point remains that the BJP is in a gaining spree whereas the TMC has started losing its vote share despite its Wheelchair campaign by Mamata Banerjee. Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Tuesday said that Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) will win more than 200 seats in West Bengal assembly and will form the government. NEW DELHI: Counting of votes will be held on Sunday (May 2, 2021) for the high-stakes assembly elections held recently in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, overshadowed by the raging COVID-19 pandemic, as the BJP seeks to consolidate its hold over more states and the Congress along with its allies attempts to regain turf. Thus, having all that information, I conclude as of now that the BJP may win the West Bengal Assembly Election 2021 with a clear majority. By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. Home Minister Amit Shah while addressing rally in Bengal for third phase which is scheduled on 6th of April said that out of 60 seats BJP is in a position to win minimum of 50 seats. BJP Chief stated that West Bengal is lagging behind because its leadership does not want the same to happen in the state. West Bengal is an emotional polity too. In West Bengal, the open support of the minorities to the TMC may become a boomerang to Banerjee because whenever there’s a minority polarisation, a counter-polarisation of the majority occurs. Much of this has been done through welfare institutions for these … "The Mamata Banerjee government has politicised the administration, criminalised the police and institutionalised corruption," he alleged. Bengal Election Result 2021: BJP's Suvendu Adhikari beats Mamata Banerjee, wins Nandigram by 1622 votes, Bengal Election Result: Reason for Mamata Banerjee's 'victory' in Bengal, West Bengal Assembly Election Result: Mamata Banerjee fights back; TMC leads with 201 seats, West Bengal Assembly Election Result: TMC ahead with 201 seats in West Bengal. Kolkata: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) president JP Nadda on Saturday (February 6, 2021) said that the Saffron party will win more than 200 seats in the upcoming West Bengal assembly elections. The BJP, which had just three seats in the 294-member assembly after the polls and went to win 18 out of 42 seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha election, had pulled out all the stops in the West Bengal … Asked about the ground for his confidence about the BJP’s big victory in the elections to 294-member West Bengal assembly, Shah said the party has only strengthened its position since the 2019 Lok Sabha polls while the TMC’s support base has eroded with a large number of its leaders quitting the organisation. He also accused the TMC government of politicising the administration and criminalising the police. Middle Class Voters: Post 2019 elections, it was evident that a large number of middle class voters … West Bengal Election 2021: Going by Lok Sabha numbers, the BJP was leading in 35 of 54 seats in North Bengal. Although the Election Commission has made it an eight-phased election, deploying a lot of Central force, yet, it’s observed that many people despite having complained against a party usually don’t go to the polling booth apprehending violence during or even after the election. West Bengal polls 2021: BJP will not get even win 70 seats, says Mamata Banerjee The TMC supremo ridiculed Narendra Modi's recent claim that the BJP had already won 100 seats in the four phases of the election That means the minority vote share of the TMC is intact. Thus, a long eight-phase voting schedule will benefit the BJP and its vote share will go on increasing. Similarly, intense campaigning of the BJP in West Bengal proves that their assessment of a chance to win is higher. However, early trends have shown that Mamata Banerjee's TMC is leading on the chart. The reasons as follows. At the ground level, the TMC workers are very organised, although the BJP is catching up and accommodating many of quitters from the TMC as well as other parties such as the Left cadres. This means that within a 15-day period, the TMC lost 2% of its vote share, whereas the BJP gained 4% more. By: ABP News Bureau Updated: 18 January 2021, 8:50 PM (IST) Amit Shah vs Mamata Banerjee in Bengal. But then, West Bengal is also one of the states where Narendra Modi enjoys the highest popularity. While the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Gorkha Janmukti Morcha managed to win only 3 seats each of the total 294 seats. Most of them have joined the BJP. In the 2019 general elections AITC won 22 and the BJP won 18 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal. The Bengal election opinion polls 2021 (average) show BJP may form next government in Bengal. This was proved in the last Bihar election. The BJP appears to have a sense that they are at a striking distance to win the election. My basic analysis is always based on vote shares and I never trust their prediction of the number of seats. That means according to this poll, the BJP is a bit ahead of the TMC, whereas the Left Front and others are losing further of their vote share. Such open polarisitation of a community can sometimes become counter-productive. Bengal Election Result 2021: Game of violence started in Bengal, Bengal Election Result 2021: Bengal again shows confidence in her 'daughter'. Nadda attended a roadshow in West Bengal's Malda and also launched BJP's 'Parivartan Yatra' from Nabadwip in West Bengal's Nadia district. Will Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress be … Tag Archives: Will BJP win the West Bengal Assembly Elections in 2021 Will Mamata Banerjee Win the 2021 Assembly Elections? जोबट विधानसभा की कांग्रेस विधायक कलावती भूरिया का कोरोना से निधन, Polls Over People: The Second Wave Is A Complete Horror And Modi Made Disaster. Taal Thok Ke (Special Edition): Corona 2.0 played spoilsport for BJP? 3. There's no turning back now for her," Nadda said. No opinion poll had said that the ISF is denting the TMC’s Muslim vote share. We will witness another split vote, just like in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. West Bengal Assembly Election Result: Who will win Bengal Election? This is one of the biggest questions trending right now amid high-decibel electoral campaigns by BJP, Trinamool Congress and other contenders. In a closely contested election, it’s always seen that the party whose vote share keep increasing during the opinion polls finally becomes the largest vote-share holder against the party or alliance whose vote share is either stagnated or decreasing. If you can remember from my previous article, I had considered polls up to March 15. He said Union Home Minister Amit Shah and other senior BJP leaders are spending considerable time in Bengal to consolidate the party's vote base. JP Nadda on Saturday said that BJP will win more than 200 seats in upcoming West Bengal assembly polls. BJP will win 26 of the 30 seats in West Bengal and 37 of the 47 seats in Assam in the first phase of polling, Shah said. Home / West-bengal / Mamata tears into Modi and BJP over ‘lies’ propagated to win polls Mamata tears into Modi and BJP over ‘lies’ propagated to win polls The Bengal debacle for the saffron party would mark the beginning of its end around the country: CM This is a standard political consequence. How Did India Land In This Crisis And What Are Organisations Doing To Help? In Bengal polity, it’s common that the dominant booth level worker not only brings their supporters but also prevents/stops doubtful or rival-party voters to come to the polling booth by threatening them. 2. नबद्वीप, बंगाल में परिवर्तन यात्रा का शुभारंभ किया।, यह यात्रा आगाज़ है भय, आतंक, अत्याचार, भ्रष्टाचार और कुशासन के अंत का।, यह यात्रा आगाज़ है सुरक्षा, पारदर्शिता, सुशासन और विकास के आरंभ का।, यह यात्रा आगाज़ है पश्चिम बंगाल में कमल के खिलने का। pic.twitter.com/9QaVd6UFUf, नबद्वीप, पश्चिम बंगाल में आयोजित #PoribortonYatra के शुभारंभ के अवसर पर जनसभा को संबोधित किया।, 10 साल में ममता दीदी ने माँ, माटी और मानुष का जो अपमान किया है, आज उसके खिलाफ परिवर्तन यात्रा की शुरुआत हो गई है। ये केवल सरकार का ही नहीं बल्कि विचारों का भी परिवर्तन है। pic.twitter.com/ESei7Jc1RL. Before deliberating on this, let me clearly and unequivocally say that Banerjee is the tallest leader of West Bengal at this moment. I didn’t include other opinion polls that didn’t provide vote share in their surveys. Many experts say that silent voters are important in Bengal polity (I always feel that they are important in any polity). Political developments. The real election is won or lost at polling booths. Bengal 2021 and Thereafter. Some more opinion polls have come out since then. BJP or TMC, who will win Bengal in 2021 as the 8-phased assembly election is all set to begin March 27. He also said in Bengali 'Onek hoyeche Mamata, Poriborton chaiche Janata', which translates to, "People have had enough of Mamata, now they want a change!". I think the BJP may take away the 4% vote share of the Left Front plus Congress, and the TMC might lose its 2% vote share to others (including AIMIM and some other small parties). She’s assured of minority votes but apprehends losing the majority (read Hindu) votes. This means that among women and some youths, there will be a persona contest between Modi and Banerjee. Not only that, in various TV programmes, minority communities have openly declared their support to Mamata Banerjee. Thus, I believe that in this month-long election process, the vote share of the TMC will keep reducing. That’s why she is repeating that she’s a Hindu Beti and chants chandipath. West Bengal and Assam Exit Polls 2021: In West Bengal, polling for which was held over eight phases, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is contesting to … BJP national general secretary Ram Madhav exuded confidence on Sunday that his party will defeat Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress in the 2021 West Bengal Assembly elections and form government there. An Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) supporter holds a placard in front of the BJP election office in Kolkata, West Bengal, on March 16, 2021. Kolkata: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) president JP Nadda on Saturday (February 6, 2021) said that the Saffron party will win more than 200 seats in the upcoming West Bengal assembly elections. In an opinion poll on March 8, the ABP-CNX agency surveyed that the TMC, BJP, Left Front and others will get 42%, 34%, 20% and 4% vote share respectively. 1. Outlook Web Bureau 28 March 2021 Facebook Twitter Google + … But in case of Bengal, it’s considered that women are the silent voters. Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2021 Result: Trends show DMK leading postal ballots, PM Narendra Modi congratulates DMK on Tamil Nadu poll win, MK Stalin set to be next CM, MP Congress MLA Brijendra Singh Rathore dies of COVID-19, EAM S Jaishankar on four-day visit to London for G7 Foreign Ministers' meet, Uttarakhand: Corona curfew extended in Dehradun, Haridwar, US Nagar till May 6, Mamata Banerjee accuses Election Commission, BJP of playing dirty politics, says 'they made situation difficult for Trinamool Co, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is also scheduled to visit West Bengal. In Indian politics, especially during the election period, things change pretty rapidly. When people are a supporter of both the leaders and one leader uses abusive language against the other, then the sympathies and supports always go to the one whose name is being abused, Modi in this case. As West Bengal is one of the high voltage contesting grounds where both the BJP and TMC have employed all-out efforts to win the election, changes to the political mood of people is nothing but natural. I am providing an up-to-date opinion poll summary below. She can be considered Bengal pride. Taal Thok Ke: Will Mamata Banerjee be the face of opposition in 2024? Speaking to India Today TV, Shah said that his claim of BJP winning 26 of the 30 seats in the first phase in Bengal … West Bengal polls 2021: BJP will not get even win 70 seats, says Mamata Banerjee The TMC supremo ridiculed Narendra Modi's recent claim that the BJP had already won 100 seats in the four phases of the election So as of now, I would say that BJP is likely to win the 2021 West Bengal election. Thus, Mamata Didi’s strategy of abusing Modi may cost dearer to her in the coming days. West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, Puducherry Election Results 2021 Live Updates: The Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) pulled off a spectacular victory in a high-stakes electoral battle, trouncing BJP to form the government for a third consecutive term in West Bengal. But she’s making a cardinal mistake of attacking Modi unrelentingly, using harsh and ugly words. Bengal is not resisting. Claiming that the TMC's slogan of 'Maa, Mati, Manush' (mother, land and people) has been reduced to 'dictatorship, tolabaji (extortion) and (Muslim) appeasement', Nadda said the TMC dispensation has betrayed the trust people had reposed in it. As this is a state assembly election, Banerjee should have the upper hand when it comes to the support of silent voters. West Bengal (WB), Kerala, Assam, Tamil Nadu (TN), Puducherry Election Exit Poll 2021 Results Highlights: Of five states, the BJP is in direct contest in two - Assam and West Bengal… An Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) supporter holds a placard in front of the BJP election office in Kolkata, West Bengal, on March 16, 2021. In which direction will they go? Where’s yours? And such confidence and frustrations always influences the ordinary, neutral and silent voters. At the same time, the Left front lost 4% vote share and others gained 2%. BJP National President Shri @JPNadda flags off 'Parivartan Yatra' from Nabadwip, West Bengal. The BJP will have to hold fort in North Bengal to win the battle of Bengal. Even the political common sense says that when people say both rivals are at fifty-fifty chance, then it mostly goes against the incumbent party. That means this opinion poll also says that both the BJP and TMC are neck and neck with an advantage to the BJP. Both the parties are putting in their entire machinery to spread their messages. In such a case, the BJP generally deploys all its assets and indulges in intense campaigning. ( Special Edition ): Corona 2.0 played spoilsport for BJP to bring their supporters/voters to the BJP important any. Show the mood of the 42 Lok Sabha numbers, the TMC will keep reducing like Madhya! Vs Mamata Banerjee government has politicised the administration and criminalising the police opinion poll also says that both the won... This Crisis and What are Organisations Doing to Help same to happen in the state of West.! Party and the Gorkha Janmukti Morcha managed to win the battle of Bengal had considered polls up to 15... Nda will Sweep the Assam assembly election Result: who will win more than 200 in... This is a state assembly election Result: who will win Bengal election will be a persona contest between and! Keep reducing ( an Essel Group Company ), all rights reserved basic. 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